A quantitative analysis

The DTC was originally designed as a tax credit. It recognizes that persons with severe and prolonged impairments bear non-discretionary costs that reduce their taxable capacity, and its strict functional test was calibrated to identify that population, not the broader population of people who are disabled in some meaningful sense. That design logic held so long as the DTC was only doing a tax job. It became more complicated when the DTC was made the eligibility gateway to the Canada Disability Benefit (CDB), an income support targeted at low-income working-age Canadians with disabilities.

Once the DTC controlled access to an income-support program, whether it applies the right definition of disability is no longer only a question of tax design: it is a question of whether the right population is being reached by an anti-poverty program. This expansion in the role of the DTC is the focus of this report: it asks whether the DTC eligibility criteria are capturing the right population and, if not, how can it be expanded and what would that expansion look like.

This report is part of the second phase of the Broken Links project, prepared for the Canada Tax Observatory. It follows the first report which reviewed the existing evidence on the DTC and mapped the chain of access from eligibility to benefit receipt. Where the first phase documented how the current system works and where the links break down, this report turns to a forward-looking, quantitative question: what would change for access, cost, and poverty — if eligibility for the DTC were extended to, or informed by, the disability determinations that other programs already make?

Related reading

The Disability Tax Credit: where the access chain falls apart

This report summarizes the data and evidence collected as of July 2026, on the Disability Tax Credit with a focus on the administrative burdens for applicants.

Broken Links: Poverty and the Limits of the Disability Tax Credit — Snapshot by Canadian Tax Observatory CEO Heather Scoffield

More than a quarter of Canada’s working age population has a disability of some kind and poverty among people with disabilities is pervasive—despite multiple layers of government programs and supports.

disability-tax

How Ottawa’s ‘cruel’ process keeps the majority of Canadians with disability from getting the Disability Tax Credit

Where the serious and stubborn policy problem lies is in the fact that poverty among people with disabilities is pervasive — despite multiple layers of government programs and supports. In the middle of this tangled mess is the Disability Tax Credit. It is the bureaucratic key to unlocking at least 13 different income supports.

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